Core PCE MoM 0.2% (vs 0.3% expected) & YoY 3.0% (vs 3.3% expected) came in lower than expectations & showed core inflation lowering prior to the FED's hike. Today's lower than expected Payrolls number along with lower revisions for the past two months also dampened inflation fears. The current odds of the FED hiking 25 bp at its Oct 28th meeting are 23.8% while the odds of at least 1 rate hike by year end are 88.3%. The 10Yr is trading @ 5.28%.
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| Trade | Action | Ref |
|---|---|---|
| sfrv6 9568 9562 ps | paper sold 20k @ 3.875 | 95.625 |
| sfrv6 9568 9562 9556 p tree | paper paid 1 10kx +1 leg | 95.61 |
| sfrv6 9650 c | paper paid .5 10kx | 95.76 |
| sfrv6 9600 9606 cs | paper sold 15k @ .25 | |
| sfrv6 9575 9587 9600 9612 c cond | paper paid 4.25 15kx | 95.775 |
| sfrv6 9600 9625 cs | paper paid .75 10kx | 95.76 |
| sfrv6 9556 put (tied 95.605-95.62 d30) | paper paid 3.5-3 25kx | |
| sfrx6 9581 9593 9606 c fly | paper paid 1.75 10kx | 95.78 |
| sfrx6 9575 9581 9587 9593 c condor | paper paid 1.25-2.25 25kx | 95.62 |
| sfrx6 sfrz6 9581 9587 cs sprd | paper paid .00 10kx +sfrz6 | 95.705 |
| sfrz6 9562 9556 9537 brk p tree | paper paid 1.25 5kx | 95.61 |
| sfrz6 9612 c (tied 95.78 d16) | paper paid 2.75 5kx | |
| sfrz6 9568 9556 9543 9531 p condor | paper paid 4.5-5.75 20kx | 95.615-95.625 |
| sfrz6 9568 9556 9543 9531 p condor | paper sold 20k @ 2 | 95.79 |
| sfrz6 9568 9587 9606 brk c fly | paper paid 3.5 15kx | 95.615 |
| sfrz6 9612 9600 9587 p fly w/ 9606 9593 9581 p fly stupid | paper sold 7500 @ 1 | 95.70 |
| sfrz6 9631 c | paper sold 20k @ .75 | 95.705 |
| sfrz6 9631 c | paper paid 1 15kx | 95.72 |
| sfrz6 9631 9637 c stupid | paper paid 2.25 15kx | 95.73 |
| sfrz6 9581 9593 cs | paper paid 1.75 10kx | 95.71 |
| sfrz6 9575 9600 c 1x2 | paper paid 2.5-3 15kx | 95.71 |
| sfrz6 9593 9606 9618 c fly | paper paid .875 5kx | 95.695 |
| sfrz6 9562 9550 9543 9531 p condor | paper sold 15k @ 1.75 | 9576 |
| sfrz6 9631 9643 cs | paper paid .5 20kx | 95.81 |
| sfrz6 9612 9600 9537 brk p tree | paper sold 15k @ 10.5 -1 leg | 95.70 |
| sfrz6 9612 9600 9537 p tree 1x with sfrh7 9612 c 2x stupid | paper sold 6k @ 19 | 95.705/95.41 |
| sfrf7 9650 c | paper paid 3 10kx | 95.53 |
| sfrf7 9575 9600 9625 c fly | paper paid 3 5kx | 9557 |
| sfrh7 9600 9612 cs | paper paid 1.75 100kx | 95.515 |
| sfrh7 9550^ | paper sold 2k @ 46 | 95.505 |
| sfrh7 9537 9562 9612 c fly | paper sold 20k @ .75-.75 | 95.54 |
| sfrh7 9550 9531 ps | paper paid 10.25 10kx | 95.335 |
| sfrh7 9537 ^ | paper paid 47.75 5k | 9556 |
| sfrh7 9531 ^ | paper paid 47.25-48 3kx | 95.30 |
| sfrh7 9550 9575 9600 c tree | paper paid 1.5-1.75 5kx | 95.32 |
| sfrh7 9550 p (tied 95.315 d60) | paper sold 5k @ 32.75 | |
| sfrh7 9562 9500 ps (tied 95.37 d40) | paper sold 15k @ 27.5 | 95.37 |
| sfrh7 9612 c (tied 95.405 d16) | paper sold 10k @ 4 | |
| sfrh7 9593 9618 cs (tied 95.39 d06) | paper paid 2 8kx | 95.395 |
| sfrh7 9525 9550 9575 c-tree vs 9562 9587 9612 c-tree sprd | paper sold 10k 1.5 to .5 (-52/55/57) | 95.51 |
| sfrm7 9875 c | paper paid 1-1.5 30kx | 95.21 |
| sfrm7 9475 9500 cs | paper paid 16-16.25 50kx | 95.12 |
| sfrm7 9625 9700 c 2x3 | paper paid 3.5-4 25kx | 95.115 |
| sfrm7 95.25^ | paper paid 66 2kx | 95.27 |
| sfrm7 9662 9737 c 2x3 | paper paid 2.25 10kx +2 leg | 95.14 |
| sfru7 9475 9500 cs | paper paid 15-15.25 50kx | 95.06-95.09 |
| sfru7 9562 9612 cs | paper paid 10.75 20kx | 95.175 |
| sfrz7 9625 9700 cs | paper paid 7 10kx | 95.11 |
| sfrz7 9562 9612 cs | paper paid 11.75 20kx | 95.155 |
| sfrz7 9562 9612 cs (tied 95.27 d10) | paper paid 13.5 5kx | |
| sfrz7 9512 ^ | paper paid 98 2.5kx | 9517 |
| sfrz7 9425 9625 rr (tied 95.25 d36) | paper paid .00 3kx +c | |
| sfrh8 9537 (tied 95.08 d36) | paper paid 41.5 3kx | |
| 0qv6 9562 c | paper sold 20k @ 2 | 95.25 |
| 0qz6 9400 9375 p 1x2 | paper sold 5k @ .5 -2 legs | 95.12 |
| 0qh7 9462 9450 ps | paper paid 2.5 50kx | 95.175 |
| 0qh7 9537 9562 cs vs 9487 9462 ps | paper paid .5 5kx +cs tied 95.11 | |
| 0qh7 9512 ^ | paper sold 4k @ 65-64 | 95.10 |
| 0qh7 9518 ^ | paper sold 4k @ 62.5-62 | 95.115 |
| 0qh7 9512 2qh7 9518 ^ stupid | paper sold 2.5k @ 125.5 | |
| 0qh7 9537 9575 cs 4x5 | paper paid 33.5 2500 | 95.16 |
| 0qm7 9650 9675 cs | paper paid 1.75-2.25 20kx | 95.16/95.25 |
| 2qz6 9537 9562 cs vs 9487 9450 ps | paper paid 2.5 10kx cs | 95.23 |
| 2qh7 9650 c | paper paid 3 30kx | 95.23 |
| 2qm7 9512 9562 cs (tied 95.185 d24) | paper paid 21.5 5kx | |
| 3qg7 9550 ^ | paper paid 54.5 2500x | 95.25 |
| 3qh7 9550 c (tied 9518.5 d30) | paper paid 15.5 8kx | |
| 3qu7 9550 c (tied 95.20 d38) | paper paid 27 5kx |
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